Notes/BBS 2nd Year/Contemporary Issues (with Reference to Nepal)
BBS 2nd YearUnit 10 25 hrs

Contemporary Issues (with Reference to Nepal)

This unit — the second largest (25 LH) — covers six major contemporary macroeconomic issues relevant to Nepal:

  • privatisation, liberalisation, and globalisation
  • foreign direct investment
  • economic growth and development
  • foreign employment
  • poverty
  • economic inequality. Each topic covers concepts, causes, current status in Nepal, and remedies.

Privatisation, Liberalisation, and Globalisation

Privatisation is the transfer of ownership and management of public sector enterprises to the private sector. Liberalisation is the removal of government controls and regulations — freeing markets, prices, and trade. Globalisation is the integration of national economies into a global economy through trade, investment, capital flows, and technology transfer. These three — often called the "LPG" reforms — were adopted by Nepal starting in the 1990s, replacing the earlier state-led development model.

Benefits and Drawbacks

  • Benefits: efficiency, competition, consumer choice, access to foreign capital and technology, lower prices, economic growth.
  • Drawbacks: job losses in privatised firms, inequality, vulnerability to global shocks, loss of domestic industry if uncompetitive, cultural homogenisation.
  • Nepal context: liberalisation opened trade and investment, boosting remittances and services, but manufacturing stagnated and trade deficit widened.

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is investment made by a foreign company or individual to establish a lasting interest in an enterprise in another country — typically involving a stake of 10% or more. Unlike portfolio investment (buying shares), FDI involves management control and long-term commitment. FDI brings capital, technology, managerial skills, and access to global markets. Benefits: job creation, technology transfer, increased exports, tax revenue, economic growth. Drawbacks: profit repatriation (money leaves the country), crowding out of domestic firms, dependence on foreign decisions, potential exploitation of labour. Nepal's FDI inflow has been modest — about $200 million per year, far below countries like Vietnam ($16 billion) or Bangladesh ($3 billion). Major barriers: political instability, infrastructure gaps, bureaucratic hurdles, and small market size.

Economic Growth and Development

Economic growth is a sustained increase in real GDP over time — a quantitative measure. Economic development is broader — it includes growth plus improvements in living standards, health, education, equity, and institutions — a qualitative measure. A country can grow without developing (e.g., oil-rich nations with poor human development) or develop slowly without fast growth (e.g., Kerala in India). Sources of growth: increase in the quantity of factors (more labour, more capital), improvement in the quality of factors (education, skills, technology), and improvements in total factor productivity (efficiency, institutions). The Human Development Index (HDI) — combining income, education, and life expectancy — is the most common measure of development. Nepal's HDI has improved from 0.378 in 2000 to 0.601 in 2022 (medium human development), but it still ranks 143rd out of 191 countries.

0+10%-10%+6.7%2076-2%2077+5.8%2078+7.4%2079+3.9%2080+5.2%2081Annual GDP Growth (%)
Nepal's GDP growth and development trajectory over time.

Foreign Employment

Foreign employment — Nepalis working abroad — has become a defining feature of Nepal's economy. About 700,000 work permits are issued each year, and an estimated 3–4 million Nepalis work abroad (mainly in Gulf countries, Malaysia, and India). Benefits: remittances (about Rs 1,000 billion/year, ~20% of GDP), reduced domestic unemployment, skills and experience gained, foreign exchange reserves. Drawbacks: brain drain (loss of young, educated workers), labour exploitation and abuse, social disruption (families separated), reduced domestic production (fewer workers at home), vulnerability to global oil price shocks (Gulf economies). Nepal's heavy dependence on remittances makes it vulnerable — a downturn in Gulf construction or a drop in oil prices can slash remittance income.

Poverty

Poverty is the inability to afford basic needs — food, shelter, clothing, health, education. Absolute poverty is defined by a fixed income threshold (the World Bank uses $2.15 per person per day at 2017 PPP for extreme poverty). Relative poverty is defined relative to the average income in a society (e.g., below 60% of median income). Nepal has made remarkable progress: the poverty rate fell from 42% in 1995/96 to about 17% in 2022/23 (using the national poverty line). Causes: low agricultural productivity, unemployment, inequality, lack of education and skills, geographic remoteness, social exclusion (caste, gender, ethnicity). Remedies: inclusive growth, investment in agriculture, education and health, social protection programmes (social security allowances), microfinance, infrastructure development in rural areas, and targeted programmes for marginalised groups.

Economic Inequality

Economic inequality is the unequal distribution of income, wealth, or consumption across individuals or groups in a society. It is measured by the Gini coefficient (0 = perfect equality, 1 = one person has everything) and the Lorenz curve (which plots cumulative population share against cumulative income share). Nepal's Gini coefficient is about 0.30 for consumption (relatively low by global standards, partly because remittances flow to poorer households), but the income Gini is higher (about 0.45). Causes: unequal ownership of land and capital, differences in education and skills, urban-rural divide, social discrimination, and globalization (which tends to reward skilled workers disproportionately). Remedies: progressive taxation, social transfers, investment in public education and health, land reform, affirmative action, and inclusive growth policies.

Cum. Population %Cum. Income %OEqualityLorenzGini gap
Lorenz curve and Gini coefficient — measuring economic inequality.

Nepal's Progress and Challenges

Nepal has made significant progress in recent decades: poverty fell from 42% to 17%, life expectancy rose from 54 to 71 years, and literacy improved from 40% to 68%. The HDI improved from low to medium. Remittances have been the main driver. But major challenges remain: per capita income is still only about $1,300 (one of the lowest in South Asia), unemployment is high (especially youth), the trade deficit is widening, manufacturing is stagnant, and inequality between urban and rural areas is growing. The transition from a remittance-dependent, consumption-driven economy to a production-driven one is the central challenge of Nepal's economic future.

Practice Problem

A country has the following income distribution data (population in quintiles, 20% each): poorest 20% earn 5% of total income; second quintile earns 10%; third quintile earns 15%; fourth quintile earns 25%; richest 20% earn 45%. (a) Draw the Lorenz curve conceptually and describe its shape. (b) Estimate the Gini coefficient using the formula G = 1 − Σ(area of each trapezoid under the Lorenz curve). (c) Compare this Gini value with Nepal's (about 0.30) — is this country more or less equal than Nepal?

Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and Nepal

The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 global goals adopted by the UN in 2015, to be achieved by 2030. They cover poverty, hunger, health, education, gender, water, energy, work, inequality, climate, and more. Nepal has committed to all 17 SDGs and has integrated them into its national plans (15th Plan, SDG Status Report). Progress: Nepal has made good progress on poverty (SDG 1), education (SDG 4), and health (SDG 3). Challenges: goals on decent work (SDG 8), inequality (SDG 10), and climate action (SDG 13) are lagging. The estimated cost of achieving SDGs in Nepal is about $15 billion per year — far more than current government spending, requiring massive private and foreign investment.

Key SDGs Relevant to Nepal

  • SDG 1: No poverty — Nepal target: reduce poverty from 17% to below 5% by 2030.
  • SDG 2: Zero hunger — Nepal target: end malnutrition, especially among children.
  • SDG 4: Quality education — Nepal target: 100% secondary completion, gender parity.
  • SDG 8: Decent work — Nepal challenge: high youth unemployment, low formal-sector jobs.
  • SDG 10: Reduced inequalities — Nepal challenge: urban-rural, caste, gender gaps persist.
  • SDG 13: Climate action — Nepal vulnerability: Himalayan melting, glacial lake outburst floods.

Nepal's Graduation from LDC Status

  1. per capita income (threshold ~$1,230),
  2. human assets index (health, education),
  3. economic and environmental vulnerability. Nepal met the graduation thresholds for the first time in 2018 and again in 2021. The UN has recommended Nepal graduate from LDC status by November 2026. Benefits of graduation: increased international prestige, signal of development progress. Challenges: loss of preferential trade access (duty-free quotas), loss of some concessional financing, and need to compete in global markets on equal terms. Nepal must prepare carefully to manage the transition

Real-Life Example: Nepals Progress in Numbers

Nepal has made remarkable progress despite being an LDC: Poverty fell from 42% (1995/96) to 17% (2022/23). Life expectancy rose from 54 years (1990) to 71 years (2022). Literacy improved from 40% (2000) to 68% (2022). HDI improved from 0.378 (2000) to 0.601 (2022), moving from low to medium human development. Child mortality (under-5) fell from 140 to 28 per 1,000. Access to electricity rose from 40% to 94%. These gains were driven by remittances, improved governance, community programs, and international aid. However, per capita income is still only ~$1,300 — among the lowest in South Asia — and the transition to a production-driven economy remains the central challenge.

Key Terms and Definitions

  • Privatisation: Transfer of public enterprises to private sector — निजीकरण: सार्वजनिक उद्यम निजी क्षेत्रमा हस्तान्तरण।
  • Liberalisation: Removal of government controls on markets — उदारीकरण: बजारमा सरकारी नियन्त्रण हटाउने।
  • Globalisation: Integration of national economies into global economy — वैश्वीकरण: राष्ट्रिय अर्थतन्त्रलाई वैश्विकमा एकीकरण।
  • FDI: Foreign Direct Investment — lasting interest by foreign investor — FDI: विदेशी प्रत्यक्ष लगानी।
  • Economic growth: Sustained increase in real GDP — आर्थिक वृद्धि: वास्तविक GDP मा दिगो वृद्धि।
  • Economic development: Growth + improvements in living standards, health, education — आर्थिक विकास: वृद्धि + जीवनस्तर सुधार।
  • HDI: Human Development Index (income + education + life expectancy) — HDI: मानव विकास सूचकांक।
  • Poverty: Inability to afford basic needs — गरिबी: आधारभूत आवश्यकता खरिद गर्न नसक्ने।
  • Gini coefficient: Measure of inequality (0 = equal, 1 = unequal) — गिनी गुणांक: असमानता मापन।
  • LDC: Least Developed Country — UN classification for poorest nations — LDC: अल्पविकसित देश।
  • SDGs: 17 Sustainable Development Goals by UN (by 2030) — SDGs: १७ दिगो विकास लक्ष्य।
  • Remittance: Money sent home by workers abroad — रेमिट्यान्स: विदेशमा काम गर्नेले पठाएको पैसा।